BTC saw another surge to new highs this week and printed a fresh new ATH yesterday, touching briefly $73,800 on Coinbase, after which a significant pullback followed. I say significant, but in reality, it was just about 6%, taking it down to 68k in a matter of hours.

At this point, the most we can expect from a pullback, is 10-12% at best. I just posted my Crypto Corner newsletter, where I explained how we are in a very different market right now and this is a super-cycle, on unprecedented levels. For the first time in history, Bitcoin marks a new All-Time High 40 days before its halving event and this is not to be ignored.

The fact that we saw a pullback of 6% is actually very normal and doesn’t worry me at all. Such pullbacks are not uncommon, and the bullish narrative, fuelled by ETF flows increasing demand in a limited supply environment, remains strong. Bulls anticipate favourable price movements, while bears brace for negative ones. In fact, in the past bull cycles, we got used to seeing much bigger corrections, 30% and even 40% corrections were occurring frequently throughout the 2017 cycle and less frequently in 2021 (but they still happened).

So, why is it that we only see 5-6% pullback today? What makes this cycle so different, you may ask. The answer is simple. Institutional investors have arrived and they are hungry for Bitcoin – it’s the liquid Gold-rush of the century.

Back in January, we saw the simultaneous approval of 10 spot Bitcoin ETFs and with that, the bulk buying began, which is the catalyst for this price appreciation right now.

In USD terms, Tuesday witnessed the largest single-day inflow in spot Bitcoin ETFs since their inception, with nearly $1 billion flowing in. Surprisingly, these inflows occurred even as the BTC price dropped during Tuesday’s trading hours. It seems that ETF buyers grasp the strategy of “buying the dip.”
Welcome to Bitcoin, Wall Street.

GBTC Outflows:
Grayscale outflows persist, although they are less significant compared to when the ETFs were initially approved. We can expect to see a continued but gradual decrease in outflows as investors move funds to alternative vehicles with lower annual fees.

ETF Holdings:
The total holdings of ETFs now stand at approximately 453,000 BTC, with Blackrock alone holding 228,613 BTC. Few analysts predicted Blackrock surpassing MicroStrategy’s holdings in just two months, indicating that the ETFs were undervalued.

MicroStrategy:
$MSTR has surged 145% year-to-date, outperforming all other assets. With a market cap of $30 billion and continuous growth, $MSTR shows no signs of slowing down since adopting its Bitcoin strategy in August 2020, gaining 1089%.

Michael Saylor’s statement, “I’ll be buying the top forever,” holds true. Shortly after completing an $800 million convertible note offering, MicroStrategy announced another $500 million in convertible notes. The initial offering carries an annual interest rate of 0.625%, allowing Saylor to borrow money at less than 1% interest for Bitcoin purchases. This move is a bold speculative attack, reminiscent of George Soros’s pound-shortening strategy but on a grander scale.

We’re now ~1 month away from the next Bitcoin halving. Here’s how price has performed during each epoch.

  • Genesis: +16,733%
  • Epoch 1: +5,211%
  • Epoch 2: +1,436%
  • Epoch 3: +735%

With the 2024 halving right around the corner: prepare accordingly…

These are my opinions, not financial advice, always DYOR.


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⚠️ DISCLAIMER ⚠️

The information contained in this video is for informational purposes only. Nothing herein shall be construed to be financial or legal advice. The content of this post reflects solely my own opinions. Purchasing cryptocurrencies poses considerable risk of losses.



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